Naw' be possitive. The Blacks are just about to pop! Their gonna move back out a little but just far enough to be comfortable. Find some good gravel points back off of them and look for some brush in oh... 10' to 12' of water. The rain will muddy up the water a little so even if it's just gonna be in the high 50's that full sun will warm the water pretty quick. Check the water temps close in and if it's a little warmer don't over look the 6' to 8' stuff.