Tn. & Cum. River Systems (NOT GOOD)
Y'all might wanta read this E-mail that I just got from our Operation Folks at the Barge Co. Don't look good!
This is a “HEADS-UP” email and more detailed information will be released within the next 10 days.
TVA and Corps personnel just had a teleconference to discuss the developing low water conditions on the Cumberland and Tennessee Rivers. After the May 2010 historical record flooding and May 2011 high water event, 2012 has not provided even the minimum rainfall in the TN and Cumberland watersheds to guarantee that Barkley and Kentucky will reach normal summer pool levels (EL 359.0). Lake levels throughout both systems are below normal levels with tributary projects unable to reach their summer reserve storage levels. Weather forecasts over the next several weeks fail to provide any hope of rain systems large enough to relieve the shortage. Add to this the regulated requirements for minimum releases at the dams (most critically Kentucky Dam) that exceed the inflows into the respective lakes and we are presented with a situation where lake levels are going to be difficult if not impossible to maintain at their current levels.
TVA and the Corps are working to develop a plan to maintain the maximum water levels possible. But without significant rainfall events over the next several weeks, this will be a losing battle. Shippers should prepare to see 2012 summer lake levels equal to normal winter pool levels and “averaged” releases from the dams to be close to regulated minimals. As mentioned above, the exact plan of action is being studied and details will be released soon. This is evolving situation and, as always, your patience and cooperation is appreciated.
Ray Bess
Navigation Branch
615-736-7799
"Opera Non Verba"