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I know that temp does make a difference, generally, but when it's time....well, it's time. If it's been warm surface temps, and a cold rain come thru, surface temps will/can be, cooler than temps 2-3 feet down. But, if temps don't get up to that "magic number", what ever that is ????, those little buggers will just put on a coat and do their deal. They are where you find them. Stay warm and stay safe....fyi, we had sleet/snow here for a spell yesterday, so 50 is warm to me!! lol See ya on the water.
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60-70 I am going .:popcorn
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They have laying on their mind at about 63 degrees. The males will be in ahead of that.